Last week at UFC 131 Junior Dos Santos earned a title shot by beating up the big puncher shane carwin, JDS showed how good his striking is but again failed to impress some by being unable to finish the fight for the second consecutive fight. So this goes to a question what chances does he have against cain Velasquez? or What chances does Cain have agains a very good striker….
Junior Dos Sandos would have height and reach advantage over Cain Velasquez but Cain have side movements which make it difficult for JDS to hit and land a punch, also keep in mind that cardio would play a big factor since it would be a 5 round fight and i think Velasquez would have a very big advantage on that, JDS is a better striker but cant finish fights against tough opponents such as Carwin, Nelson, Cro Cop (cro cop verbally submit due to a cut). Dont get me wrong but JDS punches are really strong very evident on the Carwin fight but the killer instict ins’t there, JDS would probably win if he could submit Velasquez since he is a Ju Jitsu Black belt, but Velasques is a wise guy and even if he gets hit he doesn’t loose his focus just like on his fight with Kongo, he got punched twice in the face but kept moving forward with the take down. Velasquez may not have as strong punch as JDS but he throws it accurately, enough to inflict damage on his opponents just like what he didi on Lesnar. Its no secret that Cain Velasquez (9-0 8kos) finishes fights by tiring out opponents on the ground or using his footwork during stand up striking, while on the other hand Junior Dos Santos (13-1 8KO 3Sub 2Dec) may use a combination of leg kick and punches since he is a former kickboxer with an impressive record.
Last 3 fights
Junior Dos Santos – Win over Shane Carwin and Roy Nelson by decision and KO over Gabriel Gonzaga
Cain Velasquez – KO or TKO over Brock Lesnar, Ant”’´nio Rodrigo Nogueira, and Ben Rothwell
Watching some of their last fights Cain Velasquez from being a wrestler developed and became a good striker while on the other hand Junior Dos Santos have been very effective on his stand up and his striking. Velasquez was quite more impressive if we take a look over the last fights he had and keep in mind that he have never loose a round on all of his fights. JDS takedown defense have been great against carwin but it would be very interesting to see him fight Cain since Cain have been use of taking down bigger opponents.
I don’t think the fight would go Five Rounds and if it does it would be Cain Velasquez who would win.
Junior Dos Santos might do well within 2 rounds but due to cardio he might end up loosing via TKO on the 3rd or 4th round.
Don’t get me wrong possibility of Junior Dos Santos winning is still there and it would not be an upset if he does knowing he is a good striker but facing a guy who is as fast if not faster than him would really be a big problem for JDS…..Speed kills…
My thoughts for the JDS vs Carwin fight
Carwin is really a big puncher its just that the speed was the biggest advantage Junior Dos Santos has over carwin, Carwin’s cardio have really improved a lot but he may have forgot to train on his striking and his speed.