2011 NFL Picks – NFL Draft Props for Round 1 Picks: The 2011 NFL Picks is here, and to get you prepped for the big time event, we have all of the best NFL props available for you for the first round of the draft!
Number of Running Backs Taken in Round 1 Over 0.5 -360 – Word came out yesterday that Alabama’s Mark Ingram has gotten a clean bill of health from Dr. James Andrews, who is always a good man to get a clean bill of health from. Someone is going to take Ingram in the first round in all likelihood, and we just don’t see him slipping out even 20% of the time. It’s a chalky proposition, but the NFL Picks are definitely on our side for at least one man toting the rock to get drafted in Round 1.
Number of Quarterbacks Taken in Round 1 over 3.5 -160 – This is really just more of a gut shot that the run on quarterbacks is going to happen at some point this year during the first round instead of late on like it did last year. We already know that Blaine Gabbert and Cam Newton are going to be Top 10 (and likely Top 5) choices, but the questions are about Jake Locker, Ryan Mallett, Andy Dalton, Christian Ponder, and maybe even Collin Kaepernick. Don’t be shocked if these entire men end up hearing their names called in the first round of the draft, and we have to believe that at least two of them will get the nod.
AJ Green Draft Position Under 4.5 -190 – Barring a trade, it seems awfully likely that Green is going to end up with the Cincinnati Bengals at No. 4, and it makes a ton of sense. The Bengals are going to try to do everything that they can to keep Carson Palmer happy, and regardless, the sentiment is that Chad Ochocinco… err… Chad Johnson… is at the tail end of his career and cares a lot more about playing with FC Kansas City in the MLS than anything else. Green is a perfect fit here in the ‘Nati.
Jake Locker Draft Position Under 23.5 -130 – Locker has been all over the place on draft boards. As we mentioned before, we tend to think that there is going to be a heck of a run on quarterbacks at some point during the first round. Will that start with a team like the Tennessee Titans at No. 8? Will it start with the Minnesota Vikings or the Jacksonville Jaguars? If any of these teams come into play, Locker is coming off of the board in the teens, not in the 20s. Even so, there is a decent chance that the local Seattle Seahawks could trade up and snare Locker somewhere in the early 20s, which would also make us a winner.
Total Number of SEC Players Drafted in Round 1 over 8 -240 – This is just too good to pass up on. The SEC already has seven absolute locks in the first round of the draft, and all seven of these players are going to go in the top half of the first round in all likelihood. We know that we are going to hear the names of Cam Newton, Marcell Dareus, AJ Green, Patrick Peterson, Nick Fairley, Julio Jones, and Mike Pouncey relatively early. Beyond that though, we have a ton of other options here for the SEC to rely on. Derek Sherrod should be a first rounder, as should Mark Ingram (discussed earlier), and we wouldn’t be shocked if Randall Cobb from Kentucky snuck into the back end of the first round as well. Ryan Mallett is another possibility.
Total Number of Defensive Ends Drafted in Round 1 over 7.5 -115 – An interesting prop to say the least. We know that Robert Quinn is a Top 10 pick, and the likes of Cameron Jordan, Ryan Kerrigan, JJ Watt, Aldon Smith, and Da’Quan Bowers should all go in the mid teens to early 20s. That gives us at least six DEs, and it leaves us Adrian Clayborn, Jabaal Sheard, and Cameron Heyward to work with.
We basically needs to see two of the three end up getting drafted to be safe with this prop. It seems as though Heyward is really tied to the New York Jets at pick No. 30, and the likelihood is there that teams like the New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers are going to be looking for defensive ends to help bolster some depth in this area. We tend to believe that we’ll get there with this prop at least 55 percent of the time.
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