With the baseball season less than a week away, now is the best time for your fantasy baseball draft(s). The pre season is coming to a close, we know who will be banged up to start the year (Yes, that means you, Chase Utley). So, here are some players you might want to avoid during your draft, as they are potential fantasy baseball busts for 2011.
David Price – SP Tampa Bay Rays – Price is nasty, no doubt, but with the Rays’ bullpen dismantled (Grant Balfour, Rafael Soriano, and Joaquin Benoit are all gone), who will help preserve those wins for Price? His 19-6 record from 2010 was very impressive, but if he gets more than 15 wins this year, I would be surprised, and by no means is that a knock on Price, but I feel he will be a fantasy baseball bust in 2011, especially for how high he is being drafted.
Jose Bautista – RF / 3B Toronto Blue Jays – Joey Bats came out of nowhere in 2010 to lead the league in home runs with 54. His previous high was 16 back in 2006, so I have absolutely no idea where that power surge came from. Will Jose hit 40 home runs in 2011? I doubt it. Will he hit 30? I am also leaning towards no on that one as well…. Don’t get me wrong, I would love to have a player hit between 25-30 home runs and have the versatility that Bautista possesses, but he is being drafted way too high to warrant that draft pick.
John Buck – C Florida Marlins – Buck had a career year in 2010 as he set career highs in just about everything. He hit .281 with 20 HR and 66 RBI. With that being said, Buck is a career .243 hitter, and I would expect that average to head back down to that with around 12-15 HR this year.
Rickie Weeks – 2B Milwaukee Brewers – Weeks had a monster 2010 season, and luckily I had him on both of my teams. Why did he do so well? Because he played, that’s why. Weeks played in 160 games in 2010, with his previous career high being 129 back in 2008. Weeks is a very good player, but with his injury history, I would highly doubt he comes close to repeating his 2010 power numbers.
Mat Latos – SP San Diego Padres – Latos had a great 2010 as he went 14-10 with a 2.92 ERA and 189 strikeouts. Did I mention he threw 184.2 innings in 2010? He threw only 50.2 innings the year before, but we all know what happens when you increase your workload like that, which leads me to…
Phil Hughes – SP New York Yankees – Hughes was an All Star in 2010 thanks to his 18-8 record last year, but like Latos, their workloads increased quite considerably. In 2009, Hughes threw 86 innings, while in 2010 he threw 176.1 innings, and the wear and tear was never more evident than his series against the Texas Rangers in the ALCS where he threw 8.2 innings and gave up 11 runs on 14 hits.